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A Review of 2006 and outlook for 2007


Asking about the state of the local economy in 2006, or the outlook for 2007, of somebody who spends most of his time assisting the rescue of businesses from failure, is likely to produce a rather depressing response.


It has certainly been a very tricky one for businesses in general – maybe not so for those in construction or the better parts of retail, but for the rest it’s been very challenging, requiring all management skills working at optimum levels – itself a balancing act to ensure products and services meet market expectations in quality and price, motivating staff, managing the supply chain and containing costs. At the same time investing for the future and keeping an eye on competitors - wherever in the world they are located!


A recent survey showed that the average business proprietor spends 28 hours a month managing the red tape that showers down from on high, so is it any wonder that companies need my assistance at times like this?


The problem is that most of the ‘regulation makers’ seem to underestimate the worth of small businesses to the economy. They seem to forget that ‘big business’ has shed 1.5 million or so jobs in the past five years and it’s the smaller business that’s been picking up the slack. It’s the smaller business that accounts for 60% of commercial innovations, 50% of GDP, and that they employ 58% of the private workforce. As a consequence, laws are written for big businesses and small firms get the short straw when new legislation is passed.


So in the small firm, without a legal or HR department, the proprietor has to take his eye off the ball 4 days a month to work for Whitehall and cope with the 4700 or so new laws and regulations that have been put in place over the past 10 years.


So what’s the answer – plans to reduce red tape by 25%, announced by the Government at a recent CBI Conference sound good, but unless 25% or more of the bureaucrats that make them are removed, we will see little change in 2007. But maybe this is where your accountant or business support adviser can assist you, to find efficiencies to free up your time to enable you to manage the business, as well as the paper, and find you some spare time to think about the long term, rather than muddle in the short term.


But regulations are not the only matters that interrupt the running of a business – the growth of the Internet and the effects of globalisation are now really starting to bite on those companies that haven’t moved with the times and embraced the new trading world. The retail price index is held down by the availability of quality products, yet cheap, from China and India and unless you are adding value to the products and services you produce, you might find the coming years more difficult than they may be at present.


So 2007 looks like being another really challenging year for local business – and I haven’t touched on interest rates, the US dollar rate, greenhouse taxes, congestion charges, corporation tax, the price of oil, pressure on consumer spending, house mortgage rates, pension problems, the balance of payments, a change of prime minister………..


So visit your accountant and allow him to help you draw up your business plans, or speak to me if you want some help with collecting your debts, finding finance for expansion or some help in reviewing your financial processes. Together we may be able to assist you to expand or survive in these increasingly difficult times.


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